Typhon

Context for LLMs

Typhon is prediction-market infrastructure for coordination under uncertainty, designated GSV-D2 (pace-layer D) in the GSV registry, and is currently in-flight (last updated 2026-04-08) under the infrastructure and intercognition-jazz domains. Concretely, it is an MCP (Model Context Protocol) server built over the Manifold Markets API, giving an agent or user a structured interface to research existing markets, evaluate their probability estimates, place bets, and track calibration over time. The underlying design premise is that prediction markets function as a coordination mechanism: they convert dispersed, distributed judgment held by many separate participants into a single aggregated probability estimate, which can then support decisions that are otherwise difficult to make under uncertainty. Rather than building novel market infrastructure from scratch, Typhon's architecture wraps an existing, live market platform (Manifold) via MCP, which lets it be driven directly by LLM agents as a tool rather than only through a human-facing UI - fitting the 'intercognition-jazz' domain tag, suggesting a role in multi-agent or human-AI collaborative reasoning workflows. Within the GSV portfolio, Typhon was identified through the same filesystem-indexing pass that surfaced Thisbe, Undersketch, and other infrastructure-tier projects, indicating it is treated as part of the same infrastructure cluster, though no specific cross-project integration is described in the source material. Its honest current state is that of working MCP-server infrastructure over a third-party market platform: the mechanism (research, evaluate, bet, track calibration against Manifold) is implemented, but the material does not describe Typhon operating its own independent market-resolution engine, only client access to Manifold's markets. Further extension toward original market creation/resolution infrastructure, if any, is not confirmed by the given material.